The following are short statements of miscellaneous real estate news or other topics/issues that I find interesting:
Disclaimer: References to products and services are not a specific endorsement, but the user must perform their due diligence and investigate whether the product or service is right for them. I welcome any or all comments that would help others.
4-13-2016: Appeals Court questions constitutionality of CFPB, attacks Director Cordray. Big question: How far does CFPB authority reach. More specifically in this case: “Does the CFPB have authority to assess huge $109 million fine when another law judge already assessed a $6+ million judgment?”
4-10-2016: The US Treasury 10 year note (that is used to parallel movement in mortgage interest rates), settled at 1,77% on 4-8-2016. Core consumer price index was 2.3%. This means that the effective rate of growth of the 10 year note is negative.
4-9-2016: About 246 million desktop & laptop computers were sold in 2015, but that was down 11% from previous year. (Not real estate related, but very interesting.) Source: WSJ,4-6-2016,C12
4-8-2016: 1st time homebuyers can be…Landlords?. Not so fast there oh wise one…there’s alot to consider on this one before you jump on this train. Consider the pros and cons first…
4-8-2016: Tight home inventory levels are helping to drive up prices. Typically, there is a 6 month inventory of homes, but currently running about 4 months. Source: WSJ, 3-21-2016, C1
4-7-2016: Why Home Buyers Really Need to Hurry.
4-6-2016:HOA must accommodate religious beliefs.
4-5-2016: Cancer Risk From Lumber Liquidators Laminate Wood Flooring Was Underestimated: Report. This is related to the safety of products manufactured in China. It was questioned by the California Air Resources Board (CARB)and a $2.5 million out of court settlement resulted. WSJ, 3-23-16, B3.
4-3-2016: 5 Tax Benefits of Owning a Second Home.
3-30-2016:Three median price home levels are defined as: those national prices of $154,156 (bottom 3rd); $267,845(middle 3rd); and $542,805 (upper 3rd). Movement between these tiers depends on many factors, including adequate inventory levels in each tier and the old demand-supply rules apply and will affect each tier’s price. The inventory levels of all three have decreased riving prices up and making it harder for people to trade up. WSJ,3-21-2016, A3
3-29-2016:Cancer Risk From Lumber Liquidators Laminate Wood Flooring Was Underestimated: Report. This is related to the safety of products manufactured in China. (China again…do we see a pattern developing or continuing here?) It was questioned by the California Air Resources Board (CARB)and a $2.5 million out of court settlement resulted. WSJ, 3-23-16, B3.
3-26-2016: Phoenix company faces lawsuit for alleged real estate scam targeting Spanish-speaking families. Shakespeare, if alive today, would pen “A scam, in any other language, smells as bitter!”
3-25-2016: Happy Easter holiday – may you be blessed this weekend with the joy of Jesus Christ and His offer to you of salvation!
3-24-2016: New Twist on the Sex-Offender Registry: Financial Crime Registry posting people who have committed financial crimes against people. This is interesting to publicly acknowledge a criminal’s past actions to warn people from falling for their schemes.
3-23-2016: The US Supreme Court may agree to hear a case (#15-610) of a debt collection attempt that was denied because the effective state laws prohibited certain terms and conditions of the debt, namely interest rate. If the Court doesn’t hear the case (and allows the decision to stand), it will effectively empower states to establish their own consumer protection laws. If the court hears the case and reverses the decision, it sets precedence for other debt collectors and debt buyers that they can ignore state laws in collection practices. To hedge against tougher state laws regarding debt collections, some firms are buying portions of debt and leaving them in banks who are exempted from some laws. Source: WSJ, 3-21-2016, C6.
3-22-2015: Thousands (<50,000) of (underwater) homeowners will be eligible to have their mortgage balances cut under a plan approved by the federal regulator (Federal Housing Finance Agency - FHFA) of mortgage-finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…(Just call 1-800-UNCLE-BARRY, pledge eternal allegiance, and get free money, y’all – good use of your taxes?)
3-17-2016: Too little, too late? Feds aim to ID buyers of real estate hiding behind shell companies>. A new rule took effect this month aimed at ending the secrecy of people who buy real estate via anonymous shell companies. Finally, it seems to have dawned on U.S. Treasury Department officials that this type of property transaction — in which the buyer is listed merely as a “Fill in the Blank LLC” — might be an effective way to invest ill-gotten gains and launder money without having to identify the purchasers.
“We are seeking to understand the risk that corrupt foreign officials, or transnational criminals, may be using premium U.S. real estate to secretly invest millions in dirty money.” That’s what Jennifer Shasky Calvery, the Treasury’s director of the financial crimes enforcement network (known as FinCEN) said when announcing the new rule.
3-16-2016: The main three financial ratings companies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch) are still in business after their ratings anomalies (inaccurate financial instrument risk valuation and assessment) that were partially responsible for the 2007-2008 financial market meltdown. The financial risk rating model was supposed to have been modified to prevent poor ratings in the future, but apparently it hasn’t. These three firms are still in operation and even though competitors have since come and go, they are still assessing risk. Source: WSJ, 3-11-2016, C1,C3
My Comment: Although the amount of revenue from mortgage backed securities is much lower now (about 10% rather than 50% in 2007-2008), who really knows what other financial instrument has now taken the place of the MBS or CDO and about to terrorize the financial market….once more?
3-15-2016: SHOULD YOUR HOA BE RUN AS A FAMILY BUSINESS?. It all depends…Ozzie & Harriet…or the Sopranos?
3-14-2016: The Essentials Checklist for Newly Married Homeowners…besides the weekend maintenance.
3-12-2016: California thug convicted of kidnapping to commit robbery, kidnapping to commit rape, assault with the intent to rape, false imprisonment, making criminal threats and robbery. He was also convicted of being a felon in possession of a firearm and faces life in prison. You know, an upstanding citizen carrying a set of values….especially those you don’t normally cherish.
3-11-2016: The housing market’s growing schism
3-10-2016: Big Banks Paid $110 Billion in Mortgage-Related Fines. Where Did the Money Go? Some went for horses and a stable in New York and other non-housing related reasons…tens of billions go unaccounted for, financial institutions are going to earn that money back from bank deposits, commissions, and investment schemes…and nobody was jailed….priceless!
3-9-2016:Brand-New Homes Get More Affordable for Buyers Wow, is this a misleading headline – it depends on what is defined as “affordable” – at $278,000 who can afford it? Even at current rates around 4%…about $1,200 P&I with 10% down…and don’t forget PMI, Taxes and Insurance on top of it.
3-8-2016: Diversity sought in Commercial Real Estate.
3-7-2016: What’s Causing the Pest Problem in Your Home?….besides your significant other….
3-5-2-16: 7 crucial facts about FHA loans
3-4-2016:Why May Is a Magic Month for Home Sellers. Now remember, as the number of homes on the market increases, the number of potential Buyers increase…so there are more Buyers and more choices…so overall effect could still be your house stays on market longer if it’s not priced correctly or shows well.
3-3-2016: Home-Hunting Tips in a Seller’s Market
2-26-2016: HOA’s Board Code of Conduct
2-22-2016: Tips for the Millennial homebuyer.
2-19-2016: Ask The HOA Expert: Changing The Management Company. Please be sure to think about this seriously, don’t let it become an emotional decision, and evaluate existing and other HOA management alternatives carefully – including self management.
2-18-2016: Crescent Communities (apartment and office building developer) who owns several residential lots, is starting a home building business. They’re banking on the millennials to come back in droves to buy new, low cost single family housing starting in the mid $300Ks (which is pretty cheap considering most new homes are high $400Ks and above). Their main secret – they already own a number of lots from sunk costs, so why not build and sell homes on them for a profit? WSJ, 2-17-2016, C8.
2-16-2016: Georgia Zoning and Land Use Laws. The Georgia Constitution is the source of law for land development and use.
2-11-2016:Overall, anticipation of these hikes (prices and interest rates) – in conjunction with the persistently sluggish wage gains over the last few years and the stock volatility and economic softness that have weighed on Americans in the first month of the new year – could make 2016 a tough year for housing.
2-10-2016: The CFPB’s mortgage initiative is designed to help consumers understand their loan options, shop for the mortgage that’s best for them, and avoid costly surprises at the closing table. Does it accomplish those objectives?
2-10-2016: Housing factoids: Average size of new homes built in 2015 was up 60 feet to 2,720/house – almost half had 4 or more bedrooms (almost 10-15% of the total market has 4 or more bedrooms) – average price of a new home rose to $351,000 since 2009 – only 32% of home buyers in 2015 were first-time home buyers (all time low). Source: WSJ – 1-25-2016-A3.
2-8-2016:Some online financial Lenders are eliminating FICO scores from their data to determine loan eligibility…and hoping their new criteria does a better job at predicting reliability. About 8% (19 million) of the us population doesn’t have a FICO score. Source: WSJ, 1-12-16, p.C1.
2-7-2016:Terminology lesson #313 (ask your financial institution what their terms are, but here’s a rough guideline):
HELOCs (home equity Lines Of Credit): normally loans of a certain amount and typically have an adjustable rate tied to US Federal Reserve Short Terms Interest rates (that vary within the period) to be used as many times as you deplete and replenish the amount within a specified period of time with home used as collateral. Probably could be used by folks with sporadic income where a employment bonuses/income varies over the year can help pay off HELOC later.
Home Equity Loan: One lump sum loan (i.e., 2nd mortgage) at a fixed (not adjustable) rate using the equity against your personal residence. Normally, lenders/banks don’t make a home equity loan lend if your home’s loan-to-value (LTV) ratio (plus) the amount of the extra loan is more than 85% and uses a minimum 640 FICO credit score.
Note: Typically an ADJUSTABLE mortgage interest rate is tied to US Federal Reserve Short Terms Interest rates as opposed to conventional FIXED mortgage interest rates normally pegged to the 10 year US Treasury note interest rate.
2-4-2016: Call it a sellout or back tracking by Federal Housing Finance Agency…they just agreed to allow lenders to take FHFA penalties for some defaulted loans to an arbiter, as opposed to strictly requiring the lender to “buy back” the faulty loan (WSJ, 2-3-2016, C6)…I guess once the arbitration backlog builds up far enough, the FHFA and lenders will negotiate another “buyout” settlement…with a little more Federal taxpayer (borrowed) money???
2-4-2016: They’re baaaaccckkkk…In a different form…just like evil spirits…Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac are using synthetic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) to shift risk from Fannie & Freddie to investors…sound familiar? They are selling these NEW “unsecured & unguaranteed” debt instruments (called “Structured Agency Credit Risk”) to investors who are taking MORE of the risk (and in return a HIGHER return if successful) of default. So far, it is reported that about $800 Billion of the existing $4 Trillion (or about 20% of mortgages Fannie and Freddie are holding) are involved with these instruments. WSJ, 12-31-2015, A12.
2-1-2016: When the outside temperature has not been above 60 degree Fahrenheit continuously for twenty four hours, the compressor in the condensing unit could be damaged if operated, because the oil in the system will not properly lubricate the moving motor
parts when cold. When the outside temperature is as noted, your inspector will not operate the system(s), and the client should inquire of the seller about any past or present problems with the compressor(s).
1-29-2016: 4 ways to improve loan officer and real estate agent relationships besides begging for better communication from lenders.
1-27-2016: The CFPB’s mortgage initiative is designed to help consumers understand their loan options, shop for the mortgage that’s best for them, and avoid costly surprises at the closing table. Does it accomplish those objectives?
1-26-2016: Relatively good news about some sub prime mortgages…oh yes, they DO still exist ….angel oak mortgage solutions issued $135 million in December 2015 alone…but had average down payments of over 25%, average credit scores of over 680, and an interest rate of >7%….not like the typical ones that defaulted and helped push us into the 2008 financial system crisis…Source: WSJ, January 19, 2016, C6.
1-15-2016: Several large hedge funds and investors are suing for hundreds of millions in losses due to the handling of credit derivatives and swaps after the financial crisis. Last year (2015) >10 large Wall Street banks settled out of court (for about a total of $2 Billion – a mere pittance of all losses) on accusations that they conspired to prevent competition in credit derivatives market – but nobody was hanged…and exact amounts and terms of the payout to each “claimant” has been settled yet…but one belief is that some will get up to $150 million. Just not enough justice in the world now is there? Source: WSJ – 1-11-2016, C3.
12-31-2015: HAPPY NEW YEAR! 2016 Real Estate Predictions
12-29-2015: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are hopelessly lost to the Federal Government tentacles (regardless of any threats of Federal lawsuits from shareholders) and being an easy cash-cow for the US Treasury, why give up the cow and give away the free milk too?
12-28-2015: What to Expect in a Real Estate Closing
12-22-2015:Defense Spending by State in FY2014
12-16-2015: Are Neighborhood Watch Signs Killing Home Sales?
12-15-2015: http://www.builderonline.com/newsletter/sundown-on-relief-for-distressed-homeowners_c”>Relief for Distressed Homeowners? Personally, I’m willing to bet ‘neither’ party, with the pending Presidential election year, will ‘NOT’ vote to extend this allowance to avoid paying Federal income taxes on a Short Sale or Foreclosure…
12-9-2015: Home prices are rising but there still is a lack of inventory. September 30, 2015 marked the 44th consecutive month in which home prices rose year-over-year. WSJ, 11-24-2015, A2.
12-8-2015: Service animals allowed in no-pets complex
12-7-2015: Most common real estate problems new agents face.
12-3-2015: Something you should know about real-estate agents on Zillow – A high percentage of those agents advertising on Zillow enjoyed more dual-agency (represented both Buyers and Sellers in same transaction) commissions, according to a recent report from Morgan Stanley. Specifically, it found that 60% of those real-estate agents who advertised as a “premier agent” on Zillow received a 30% increase in these dual-side deals.
11-30-2015: Although Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have recently reported losses, under current arrangements with the US Treasury Department, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are to send almost all their profits to the government unless they have a loss. Needless to say,shareholders and civil rights groups are calling for them to be dissolved or released from government control Source: WSJ, 11-4-2015, C8.
11-26-2015: The FHA (Federal Housing Administration) reported a surplus of almost $24 Billion in its mortgage insurance reserve fund (up from about $5 Billion a year ago). This surge in reserves was primarily due to three factors: (1) the rise in and permanence of FHA mortgage insurance premiums, (2) the explosion in popularity of 97.5% FHA loans (in other words, requires only 3.5% down and a FICO credit score as low as 580), and (3) the value of the reverse mortgage volume grew $8 Billion more than was forecast.
11-25-2015: “Tax Inversion” is the process of acquisition or merger with a foreign corporation and moving the taxing authority outside the former corporate country. This happens for one major reason: the taxation system to where they are moving is far more advantageous. This also means money and jobs get sent out of the former country. That hurts the economy of the country whom is left, which these days happens to be the US based on their burdensome, overly excessive corporate tax structure. The latest rules allow inversion if <60% of US stockholders end up owning the entire new company, which basically ensures alot more inversions in the future (including the currently proposed Pfizer-Allergan merger). So why does this impact real estate? Simple - money flows out of the US economy along with jobs to foreign countries hurts real estate values and purchasing power. 11-23-2015:Georgia Zoning and Land Use Laws including alternatives and appeals processes.
11-20-2015:Breaking Down Real Estate Terms
11-17-2015: According to a Wall Street Journal article (Sound and Fury over New routes – 11-12-2015, p.D1), the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is redrawing air traffic routes and causing some residential communities grief who now have air traffic over their homes. This means lower relative values for their real estate and further proof that nothing is permanent and your local real estate environment can change pretty quick.
11-16-2015: IRS Audits (WSJ, 11-4-2015): Revenue from audits declined by >40% to about $7 billion given the IRS had about 20% fewer agents than 5 years ago. The IRS seems to now concentrate in areas of belief of non-compliance. The reduction in staff could also be explained by the IRS scrutiny on some applications for tax exempt status from groups with assumed Republican relationships.
11-10-2015: 4 Things to Know About Real Estate Investments
10-21-2015:What to know about the new mortgage forms
10-20-2015:Builder Confidence Back to Pre-Crash Levels
10-19-2015: Labor Shortage Pinches Home Builders
10-19-2015: 7 Essential Things Every New Homeowner Needs
10-13-2015: California Creates ‘Transfer Upon Death’ Deed . (Will this conflict with any requests in wills? Will it open possible fraud charges forging homowner’s name revoking the TOD at any time? Will this really be necessary or should it be handled in the will or just handle with Joint Tenancy? Or is this law strictly for LGBT couples to avoid probate and allow transfer of property even though a will can do the same after probate?)
10-8-2015: Questions to ask when buying a condo
10-7-2015: Some reasong to buy and not to buy condominiums.
10-2-2015: Buyers need to do their homework
9-30-2015 Real Estate Settlement Procedures
9-28-2015: Understanding closing costs
9-22-2015: Questions to ask when buying a condo.
9-16-2015: Step-by-step CFPB guide to mortgages
9-2-2015: These may be scary number for real estate: Home ownership may run 20 years! Bad news for house hunters, industry pros…but it’s good news based on home appliance, HVAC, and water heater manufacturers – now their intentional shortened lifespan design shift will be revealed.
8-5-2015: Let your Senators and Representatives know that an extension of the 2011 g-fee increase used to fund a portion of any long-term highway bill agreement will effectively prolong a tax on prospective homeowners and curtail consumers looking to refinance their mortgages.
8-4-2015: Your home loan toolkit or step-by-step guide to understanding mortgages (compliments of Cionsumer Financial Protection Bureau).
7-21-2015: 25 Cleaver Cleaning Tips – Vinegar is your new cleaning buddy!.
7-20-2015: The 2014 rise in home sales last year didn’t create a financial killing for real estate agents. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that the typical agent earned $45,800 ($1,100 less than the previous year) mainly due to a 6% surge min licensees taking share from the whole pot of commisdions.
7-3-2015: Home buyer’s checklist
6-25-2015: Timing The Real Estate Cycle
6-24-2015: <"http://realtytimes.com/consumeradvice/buyersadvice1/item/32036-20141219-the-three-most-important-responsibilities-buyers-have">The Three Most Important Responsibilities Buyers Have.
6-22-2015: Don’t be misled by reverse mortgage advertising.
6-19-2015: 5 Big Changes in the Past 10 Years in U.S. Real Estate
6-17-2015: Foreign investors pose threat to residential real estate. More than $90 Billion in foreign investment of US real estate last year and China alone spent more than $2.7 Trillion of non-Chinese real estate.
6-4-2015: Did you know Zillow, Trulia (NYSE: TRLA), Realtor.com — report upward of 80 million visits a month? That’s alot of traffic and reliance on those websites for information.
6-1-2015: Watching out for real estate scams.
5-28-2015: 50 Ways to Derail Real Estate Industry
5-5-2015: The complete remodeling history of Destin is available online…are other local areas to follow soon?
5-4-2015: In Peter Hendee Brown’s new book “How Real Estate Developers Believe”, the author believes that if people understood more of what developers basically do, they may be a little much more inclined to go along with a developer’s strategy.
4-29-2015: The do’s and don’ts of posting content online – The first warning – Don’t: Publicize other people’s stories…like this one?
4-27-2015: Mistakes people make when selling a home
Smart Moves: Tips for selling a common condo
4-16-2015: Home-sale mistakes that cost you money
4-15-2015: Here’s where the local housing recovery stands.
4-7-2015: What modern homebuyers want
4-2-2015: A new FICO score will include changes usch as payment history with their utility & cell phone providers; how often they change addresses; and place less emphasis on unpaid medical bills and missed payments on paid off debts.
3-31-2015: Top 5 ways to raise your home’s value — now. And not just wait for the hot real estate market timing.
3-27-2015: Biogen’s promising Alzheimer’s drug advances to Phase 3 trial. I would prefer a more natural way to prevent this disease…some reports say Coconut Oil can also retard some of the symptoms of Alzheimer’s.
3-26-2015: Understanding a comparable market analysis
3-23-2015: Many Cities (>40% of largest US cities reviewed) See Rise in Underwater Homeowners.
3-19-2015: Crowdfunding picks up for real estate investments. Crowdfunding has been growing – estimated $2.1 billion in 2012.. about $5 billion in 2013…and about $10 billion in 2014…and 2015…expected to double.
3-18-2015: 8 tips for first-time homebuyers – besides running a rent or buy analysis
3-17-2015: What Sellers Should Know About CMAs
3-13-2015: Exclusive: Industry experts discuss readiness for TRID: The new regulation requires the Loan Estimate (LE) (formerly the Good Faith Estimate and Early TILA Disclosures) and Closing Disclosure (CD) (formerly the HUD-1 Settlement Statement) documents to be based on the unique features and attributes specific to each individual loan. This will require a rewrite of the software used and is taking the most time and just might squeeze lender to implement changes by August 1, 2015 start date.
3-4-2015: Source: http://www.realtor.org/field-guides/field-guide-to-millennial-home-buyers
19% of Millennials agreed with this: “most people can be trusted”
83% of Millennials agreed with this: “there is too much power concentrated in the hands of a few big companies”
3-3-2015: Some comments about slab foundations
3-2-2015: Credit scores are explained but they are mostly results of an algorithm or mathematical formula that attempts to predict the stability (or lack thereof) of human behavior.
Field Guide to Millennial Home Buyers – about 40% are worried about debt (mostly student debt) – they are more careful & frugal than other age groups – fewer of them trust other people – and believe too much power is concentrated in the hands of too few (but does that include Washington DC?) and other characteristics.
Almost 40% of loans for autos, credit cards and personal borrowing in the U.S. went to subprime (i.e., credit score below 640 on a scale that tops out at 850) customers during 2014 totaling about $190 million
2-20-2015: 5 states Where Are Most Homes Cash Buys?
2-19-2015: Freddie’s Economic Revisions Optimistic for Housing…projections for 2015 for housing are positive given lower rates and more mortgage originations.
2-13-2015: Cobb County has a PENS (Police Email Notification System) program of emergency notification and warnings of safety tips and crime trends. You can register your email address to receive updates. Cobb County dispatch has a non-emergency number, 770-499-3911.
2-12-2015: Factoid – homeowners aged 62 and older hold a combined $3.84 trillion in equity in their homes.
2-11-2015: The State of Georgia started a venture capital fund idea and has now allocated $10 million (and plans up to $100 million in 5 years) toward financing small technology start-up companies. Some representatives think it is important that Government finance start-ups to keep them in the state and prevent them to move to other states. Others think that Venture Capital (VC) should remin a privately unded endeavor and the state shouldn’t be playing favorites in deciding what companes win or lose. Is venture capital and picking winners and losers really a necssary function of the government?
2-10-2015: The average cost for a private one-bedroom apartment in an assisted living residence is $3,022 per month, according to research compiled by several nonprofit senior living organizations, including the Assisted Living Federation of America
2-6-2015: The $21.8 Billion 2015 Georgia State budget includes $23 million to complete a parking garage at the new Falcons stadium in Atlanta in addition to the $17 million already budgeted…$2.5 million to train Georgia students in TV, movie, and video production industries…no money for “Invest Georgia” the state run venture capital capital fund…or private school scholarships..or the annual $1-1.5 Billion in transportation improvements.
2-5-2015: Factoid: The Georgia Department of Transportation has about 4,100 employees and operates on a $2 Billion annual budget….that’s alot of manpower standing around with signs and placing orange barrels…employing the homeless to help?
2-4-2015: True or false: A lien can be placed on your pet at the vet? True! So if you allow the pet to stay, you have to pay or the pet doesn’t play.
2-2-2015: First phase of the new Cobb Braves stadium complex is 1 million square feet of retail, restaurants, hotel, and entertainment venues. Other phases will be office buildings and residential high rise or condominium complexes.
1-30-2015: Supply of buildable lots in Cobb County fell another 20% in the past year and a half. This drives up property prices and builders now are looking elsewhere like Paulding and Bartow counties for less expensive lots. Median price for a new home was close to $375,000 and a resale house was close to $210,000.
1-29-2015: There’s been a bill introduced in the 2015 Georgia legislative session which allows individuals who have been damaged, suffered harm, or otherwise been aggrieved to file suit against a Georgia state governmental agency. A Georgia Supreme Court ruling in February 2014 stated that only the Georgia General Assembly could remove or waive sovereign immunity for the state. Source: Atlanta Business Chronicle, January 23-29, 2015, 3A.
1-23-2015: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guarantee about 50% of the $10.6 Trillion in home loans outstanding.
Wasn’t this supposed to be more simple and less confusing?
What we did was replace the FTC and CFPB with the CFPB and FFETF…more alphabet soup.
1-20-2015: I find this interesting – Dianne Feinstein’s Husband’s Real Estate Firm Poised to Make $1 Billion Selling Post Offices – Are the Feinsteins interested in the “little people” or just a couple of opportunists?
1-19-2015: Five things you must know before a real estate closing Contract is finished – Surprise! More paperwork – Attorney represents you? – Are personal checks acceptable? – Why title insurance?
1-16-2015: Survey: Address book is agents real estate gold – other than web site, blog, twitter, other social media and through local marketing, such as yard signs, flyers, and open houses, etc, (i.e., sphere of influence).
1-15-2015: What are Myra retirement accounts?
The U.S. Department of the Treasury has developed myRA (my Retirement Account), a retirement savings account with a new type of Roth IRA* investment that makes saving for retirement simple, safe, and affordable. Individuals can open a myRA account with no start-up cost and there are no fees for the maintenance of the account. myRA has no minimum contribution requirement, so savers can contribute the amount that best fits their budget.* The investment in a myRA is backed by the United States Treasury and the account carries no risk of losing money.
1-13-2015: 5 trends to watch in 2015 (Inventory, 1st timers, prices, Interest rates, and neighborhoods….what else is there?)
1-12-2015: Seeking Alpha Best Ideas For 2015
1-8-2015: Homes tested for Radon levels may be found safe in spring and summer months but might have high radon levels in the winter. Radon levels may be elevated in winter months with rain and low cloud cover. So when should you test for radon and is it really that serious based on the time periods tested?
12-24-2014: Ex Grady hospital payroll director falsified vacation and severance pay information and transferred those $480,000 in funds to his personal account. How can this example of embezzlement can occur if Grady had internal controls? Oh yeah, I guess they didn’t have them in place! Sentencing and possible restitution haring is set for 2-15-2015.
12-23-2014: The total value of all US personal residences is $27.5 Trillion.
12-22-2014: The Iowa Supreme Court recently ruled that banks and real estate developers can’t sue previous contractors/builders/developers for poor workmanship as homeowners can when facing really expensive repairs or health related issues. One case involved an improperly back-filled and compacted soil which caused future building settlement. Hey, you can say it was the fault of the buyers for improper due diligence, but it’s also the deception of the former owners too leaving some with no recourse. That ain’t right!
12-18-2014: Northwest (Atlanta) Corridor project: Approximately $1 Billion (…and probably much more after it’s finished) is to be spent adding about 30 miles of toll lanes along Interstate 75 and 575 designed to alleviate traffic – yeah…good luck with that!
12-17-2014: About 20,500 single family homes on market in Georgia FMLS: about half are < $250K; 17% are $500K or higher; about 30% are between $150-250K 12-17-2014: Sharecare.com is a website under development that once finished, may become a social network of health related topics, information, and a place to guide you to better health by building a health profile and "predictive analytics" to change your behavior and lifestyle to improve health and better body functions. 12-16-2014: US Senate Extends Foreclosure Protection for Military but US House Approval is still Required
12-15-2014: The entertainment industry in Georgia enjoys a 30% tax credit for projects spending over $500,000 in Georgia – whatever that means. Which at the minimum they receive $150,000 benefit, of which Georgia thinks it gains that $150,000 back and then some off sales and income taxes…or do they? Has anyone ever requested an Inspector General review of the actual costs and benefits? And someone in the state is actually asking for the tax credit to be extended to those who spend less than $500,000 in Georgia. I guess the State of Georgia will soon turn Democratic once all the California entertainment industry in to stay…
12-12-2014: The Georgia General Assembly is proposing a bill in 2015 to allow 3rd party financing of solar power in homes and businesses, that was previously cost prohibitive because installation (a significant expense) was required to be paid up front. Another problem is the way power is handled in homes and whether or not the excess power generated from solar panels (a) can be used in the home or (b) will be required to be sold back to the utility company.
12-11-2014: Atlanta apartment development – about 800 of an estimated 5,700 apartments are under development in Midtown Atlanta and about 1,400 of an estimated 10,000 high rise apartments are under development in the Buckhead to Midtown area. So where does that leave condo development in these areas if speculation involves rental rather than ownership?
12-10-2014: Buyers and sellers should confirm all email wiring instructions directly with the escrow officer by calling the escrow officer on the telephone. In that conversation, the correct account number information should be repeated verbally before taking any steps to have the funds transferred. Real estate attorney emails – real estate broker emails – mortgage bankers email – all get hacked for future fraud.
12-9-2014: Is the Georgia $5,000 tax credit for zero emission vehicles (like the Nissan Leaf – for which Atlanta is the #1 market in the US) in jeopardy of being eliminated? One Georgia lawmaker is proposing that it be eliminated since it falsely created a market for electric vehicles that lead to alot of sales. But when a Nissan Leaf costs $36,000 v. Nissan Versa costs $18,000, that’s alot of gasoline difference to make up. And if you want to compare service costs, don’t forget to add the replacement of car engine battery to costs. I think since electric vehicles use the road and don;’t pay any road use taxes, and the extra cost of it inhibits other expenditures in Georgia, I think Georgia needs to eliminate the credit now or find a way to tax the user for the mileage on the road if the legislature doesn’t.
12-5-2014: New study reflect your personality traits are strong indicators of real estate decisions – no duh? Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/news-ians/personality-linked-to-real-estate-choices-114120500635_1.html
Sorry – been ill 12-4-2014: there are still four million borrowers who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth reflecting $157 Billion in underwater mortgages.
11-26-2014: There’s nearly 80 acres round Turner Field (where the Atlanta Braves) currently play that remain under the control of the Fulton County Recreation Authority.
11-25-2014: The screw-ups at the Veterans Administration can’t be fired for up to 5 days which gives them time to retire and collect more benefits – after that, can we hang them for treason against our military?
11-24-2014: US Postal Service was recently a victim of data breach. Personnel records from the Office of Personnel Management was breached to get access to those individuals applying for jobs that require security clearances and any contractors performing background check.
11-23-2014: Women in the US are now expected to live to around 90 but men are only expected to live until 88 1/2.
11-21-2014: Recently, an analysis by the Wall Street Journal estimated potential value of Fannie Mae (FNMA) shares to be $0.15/share….today they are at $2.51/share at the time of this post – Can you say …Vegas baby!
11-20-2014: US Supreme Court ruled earlier this year that (1) police can enter a home with multiple residents as long as any one of the residents authorizes entry and (2) the government can freeze the assets of a defendant before trial (even if the defendant needs the resource to hire an attorney). WSJ, 2-26-2014, A3.
11-19-2014: Recent housing survey revealed > 35% of baby boomers were planning to move after retirement and of those, >40% were planning to move into a smaller home.
11-18-2014: About 25% of the total waste for the entire year is generated between Thanksgiving and New Years Day….I thought it would be a higher percentage.
11-14-2014: Per WSJ 11-1 to 2, 2014, B8 … after tax 401K contributions can be moved into a ROTH IRA later. Apparently, ROTH IRA withdrawals don’t affect AGI for income tax purposes.
Social security can be taken early at 62 years of age, but if you wait until age 66 or so, it may increase by 25%. For each year after 66, annual payments would rise an estimated 8% until age 70.
Eminent domain is a process where the governmental authority takes possession of your private real property for “public benefit” of some kind and is supposed to pay you “fair market value” of the property. Inverse condemnation is an offshoot of eminent domain where the property owner sues the applicable governmental authority for condemnation or depriving an owner of its use and value and pays damages.
About 50 countries (excluding the US) agreed to “spy and report” on bank accounts, incomes, and assets of their country’s taxpayers (including those who aren’t residents including corporations). This agreement to share an exchange information is used by each participating country to ensure those taxpayers are reporting income and paying appropriate taxes…The US has its own 2010 Law – US Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act – which upon agreement by foreign banks to report assets and income to the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS). WSJ, 10-30-2014, A9
11-11-2014: REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) that are not listed in a normal stock market exchange, but are sold through broker-dealers and financial advisers…are they all legitimate or are they subject to more scrutiny?
On 11-5-2014, the Federal reserve (a) will now allow those financial institutions deemed “too big to fail” continue to securitize debt (which contributed greatly to the last financial system crisis); and (b) prohibited the “too big to fail” financial institutions to acquire assets that will exceed the 10% threshold, but didn’t prohibit organic growth, and (c) those who do exceed 10% threshold can acquire new assets up to $2 Billion at a time…but didn’t limit the frequency. Bottom line: Does everyone feel safer now?
11-7-2014: First time home buyers comprised about 33% of all buyers in the latest 12 month period…Besides higher rents and student loan debt, the confidence in the economy is very low.
11-6-2014: Georgia Power is expecting future revenue streams from electricity used to charge electric cars. They currently have almost 1,500 customers on their plug-in vehicle charging plan and anticipate 1,000 plug-in electric vehicles sold each month in Georgia. Sales are expected to be strong since the Federal Government are offering $7,500 income tax credit and Georgia allows up to a $2,500 tax credit for low-emission vehicles and a $5,000 tax credit for zero emission vehicles. Source: ABC, 10-31/11-6, 2014, Page 3A.
11-4-2014: National rate of home ownership fell to 64.3% (lowest level since 1995) for the 3Q14 from 64.7% in 2Q14.
According to a GAO recent report, personal data at this website is at risk since weaknesses in database security were discovered….and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid is in charge of the website – feel secure about that?
11-2-2014: Recent studies reflected 90% of buyers search online for a home – (9% from a yard sign & 1% from newspapers)
10-31-2014: A pre-underwritten jumbo mortgage typically closes in 14 days as opposed to a conventional non-jumbo mortgage that close in 30 days.
Does technology create or eliminate jobs?
Median incomes have dropped to a 15 year low – advances in communication and information technology may be destroying more jobs than creating – many mid-level employees are pushed further down the company ladder – advances in technology are great for the consumer, but hard on the workers – this is creating more of a gap between unemployed and underemployed v. rich taxpayers – but is Government answer of investment in infrastructure, energy efficiency, an research the answer? Who knows – but advances in technology DO have an impact on both consumer and employment.
US regulators (including FHFA, FDIC and others) have agreed to relax US mortgage restrictions to become effective in the fall of 2015 by eliminating the need for 20% down payment. They also loosened the requirement of lenders to hold back 5% of the loan as long as they verify the borrower has the ability to repay the loan and their debt to income ratio doesn’t exceed 43%. Another agreement between FHFA and lenders is the type of circumstances that will require loans to be repurchased or levy large penalties on lenders years down the road if mortgages default.
Crowdfunding for mortgages?
There are sites designed to ask friends and strangers for personal financing for vacations, pet operations, personal tragedies or projects like Indiegogo, GoFundMe, Kickstarter, tilt, and others. Are there any for mortgage loans?
Update 10-29-2014: Crowdfunding for real estate hits Dubai & Middle East
Many US company websites have different pricing depending on the device you are using. Prices tended to be higher when using mobile devices like smartphones or tablets than using a laptop computer. Does anyone care or take notice and retribution, or do they just get a slap on wrist and go on?
Medicare/Medicaid Fraud: The Office of Inspector General of the Department of Health and Human Services found that physicians profited millions from referrals to an oncology lab owned by the hospitals they worked for – anything for a buck…is the doctor in..yes..the doctor is involved with making money any way they can.
Do we really need a $68 Billion high speed train from Northern California to Southern California?
US Federal authorities asked local police departments in 105,000 cases to hold the illegal criminal up to 48 hour after normal holding period but 8,800 of those requests were ignored, releasing 3,000 with previous criminal records – why? WSJ, 10-18/19-2014, A5.
On one side of FHFA’s, they asked banks to relax their own “overlays (i.e., additional constraints on mortgages) in overreaction to recent lawsuit and settlements and mortgage buybacks…on the other side of their mouth, the FHFA threatened to change rules of mortgage buybacks even after entering the proverbial “3 year safe zone” originally designed to protect lenders from buying back those mortgages even if they turned bad. Trust the FHFA? Not yet.
Errors & Omissions Insurance
It is estimated that less than half of all real estate agents are covered by E&O insurance.
Single family housing starts are up only about 4% but multi-unit housing construction is up >35%. Not sure what the relaxed mortgage rules will be this week, but mortgages are available now mostly to those with almost perfect credit…and that has slowed the rebound in real estate sales.
Housing construction and remodeling historically have normally contributed about 5% toward gross domestic product.
Federal regulators are to release details on relaxing mortgage rules to increase the sales of housing which includes dropping down payment to 3% for some buyers. (Note: Fannie Mae stopped that practice in 2o13 and Freddie Mac stopped it years ago.)
Arizona appeals court struck down a voter approved Arizona law to deny bail for illegal immigrants charged with felonies.
Loser pays lawsuits and where do court settlements go?
First, about 25% of the >$70 billion in court settlements from 1997 to 2012 went to the plaintiff’s attorneys…Is that right?
And anywhere from 40-60% of these settlements never get collected – that’s bad!
Excessive costs v. Doctor CYA
Excessive tests are often ordered by doctors to cover-their-asses (CYA) in case something bad happens to a patient’s health and a pending lawsuit results. However, hospitals have a need to reduce costs to ensure survivability and provide the same or better level of service. Some hospitals, whose doctors are employees of the hopital(which is another alarming trend) are eliminating the need to order so many test unless the doctor thinks it is absolutely necessary. This will be the constant drumbeat as Obamacare entrenches the grasp of hospitals and squeeze the profit and end exceptional care…
10-18-2014: How big is the college textbook industry?
Try about $7 Billion…But is it shrinking or growing? Some students grab scanned online books – some check them out of libraries – some professors put together their own study materials – And the industry is trying to develop online interactive and hanging materials. With student debt at an all time high an textbook costing $600-1,200 per semester, students are looking for less expensive alternatives. Source: WSJ/8-28-14/B6.
10-17-2014: The Federal Reserve and five other regulators (including the FDIC and SEC) are expected to release revised rules on a QRM (Qualified Residential Mortgage), including waiver of the 20% down-payment requirement, on or near October 22, 2014.
FCC shakes down AT&T for only $105 million
AT&T finally got penalized for decades long practice of cramming (charging bogus 3rd charges to its customers). It is estimated that 20 million customers are crammed each year. The $105 million will be paid as follows: $80 million to the FCC to be returned to customer who have been crammed; $20 million to each of the affected states and $5 million penalty to the FCC for more parties and toner after all the paperwork on this charge. My thoughts: I wonder who didn’t get paid under the table to make this long-time practice end?
10-16-2014: Smyrna City Government (including the Smyrna Downtown Development Authority) says…Hey, it’s only about $8 million loss but we’ll make it up in 10-20 more years…Instead of leaving the Hickory Lakes apartment complex property as is for the next property developer to grade, about $8 million was spent to demolish and remove building and grade the property to attract developers…and still sold for about $8 million less than it cost. Any reason why governments should be in the business of developing and selling property?
US Supreme Court rules an IRA isn’t an IRA
The June 2014 ruling by the high court resulted in the decision that an inherited IRA is no longer an IRA and not protected from creditors under bankruptcy law. What IRA owners now have to do is to establish a trust fund and not leave it as an IRA for the heirs unless the souse can roll the IRA over after inheritance. WSJ, 10-13-14, R3.
10-15-2014: Teaching Strategies Gold – “TS Gold”
It’s a school readiness assessment system for elementary level students in government (i.., public) schools. There are 38 objectives under nine topics of academic learning, psycho-motor data, and social-emotional development. Students are video taped,photographed, and audio recorded ad all this data (a) is stored somewhere (is it safe?) and (b) stays with the student indefinitely (information held against the student for entire education and professional career?). Not only is this wrong on everal levels, another fear is it can be used by 3rd parties for commercial/profit purposes.
Duties of the Federal Reserve
Since 2009, the Federal Reserve (having 2 major mandates: price stability and employment) bought $17 Trillion in mortgage backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac but do they plan to sell any of them? If they do, they need to sell them slowly and on a even regular basis so as not to disrupt the securities market and economic growth.
10-14-2014: Braves in Cobb County
Source MDJ Opinion – 8-26-2014
Approximately $700 Million in private funds is expected to be invested in Cobb for the entire stadium and amenities around the stadium and is expected to reduce or lower Cobb County property taxes. – Dan McRae is Lead Counsel for the Development Authority of Cobb County).
Cobb’s annual debt service is funded by (conservative estimates) sources already generating more revenue than originally expected and will ensure property taxes remain the same.
Long term maintenance costs for the county are capped, but are long term “improvement costs” capped? For instance, the Braves had currently asked for $200+ million for “improvements” to the stadium to which the City of Atlanta objected, and therefore prompted the Braves to look for another location – Cobb County.
So who’s going to pay for the future “improvements” to the stadium once the Braves get tired of status quo and extort our answer? And who really owns the stadium once it is built and is operating? Does Cobb County have use free and clear for non baseball season events? I hope we can squirrel away some of the profits to so we can pay fr it improvements, use, or demolition!
10-13-2014: What started the $97 million Cobb EMC (Electronic Membership Corporation) lawsuit?
Basically – it was a result f a class action lawsuit claiming Cobb EMC withheld profit that should have been returned to its members…about 45% of their current members are to receive some sort of refund as long as they file a claim at www.cobbemcsettlement.com. Source: MDJ/9-21-2014/8A
Banks release their stress test results
Major US banks, in conjunction with the Dodd-Frank Law of 2010, must perform stress tests which measure the strength of their balance sheets/assets to endure a financial crisis similar to or worse than the crisis of 2008. Since the results released were based on each banks own criteria of models and assumptions, hardly any “standard” measure was used because each bank made different assumptions and scenarios. Bottom Line: Surprise – they all passed….you never doubted it for a minute did you?
10-12-2014: Are nursing homes as safe as they can be?
According to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (the Federal agency responsible for regulation of nursing homes), reported that 385 facilities in 39 states (housing approximately 52,000 elderly residents) do not have any or adequate fire protection systems. Question: How many nursing hoes actually burn down each year? Back in 2005, it was reported 2,300 nursing home fires are reported each year — or one for every seven nursing homes, according to the National Fire Protection Association,a fire-prevention research group. Most of those fires are small and controlled quickly, without major damage or injuries. Apparently in the past 35 years, at least 500 people have died in nursing home fires. Hundreds more have been injured. Source: The USA Today article
Nursing home update 10-17-2014: US Department of Health & Human Services agreed to settle allegations of over billing Medicare & Medicaid by Extendicare Health Services, Inc. AJC, 10-11-14, A9.
10-10-2014: End of life care
Are we talking about how we care for elderly citizens while reducing costs and improving care? Are we discussing palliative care (which addresses pain relief to improve quality of life in final stages of life)? Medicare incentives favor last minute hospice care…patients are referred there if expected life is
Sexually transmitted infections
Reportedly about half the sexually transmitted diseases affect the 15-24 year old age group…and only about 20% of those in that age group are ever tested for HIV….also heard about 60% of students polled ever used a condom during sexual intercourse…
Germs and illnesses
Most respiratory viruses can survive a maximum of 2-4 days.
Microbes on porous (carpet, cloth, upholstery, etc,) can survive longer than on polyester or plastics/synthetic fibers….Keyboards or children’s toys can collect dirt which allows the microbes to last longer….Hand sanitizers actually kill both the good and bad bacteria and spread illnesses faster….Handshakes can spread bacteria up to 20 times faster than fist bump..and 40% of hospital employees don’t sufficiently wash their hands. Source: WSJ-9-30-14, D1
10-9-2014: Wealth Building Home Loan – alternative to “relaxing current lending standards”
A 15 year mortgage that applies >75% of each monthly mortgage premium toward principal in the first 3 years and allows home buyers to apply most or all of the down payment to reduce the interest rate.
New IRS 1095A forms
US Department of Health and Human Services will be responsible to send out 1095A tax forms (similar to W-2’s) which reflect potentially taxable health insurance tax credits paid toward health insurance plans under Obamacare by January 31, 2015.
10-8-2014: Relaxing current lending standards
The FHFA wants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to relax mortgage lending standards and increase the number of mortgages by low income home buyers. But on the other hand, bank are reducing the number of mortgages they want to extend which allows non-traditional lenders like credit unions and crowdfunding step in to fill the gap.
Credit unions are gaining mortgage business
Almost 10% of loans originated by credit unions. Many offer 15 year adjustable rates or no down payment purchase loans as well as refinancing loans up to 97% of market value, they are looking more attractive to their growing membership all the time. MDJ/9-28-14/M4.
10-7-2014: Should we be concerned about Lyme disease or US government tests for it?
Government and current makers of FDA approved Lyme disease tests will benefit if tests are regulated and choices reduced – yet the patient will be harmed…if not for separate independent lab tests, many people would be misdiagnosed as to not have Lyme disease…Apparently the current 2 tier tests only catch Lyme disease in 31% of the cases…which means 69% will not be caught – And recent research from Johns Hopkins suggest we are using the wrong antibiotics which contribute to spreading bacteria – not killing it. Source: WSJ/9-23-14,A16.
10-6-2014: A Washington DC judge tossed out lawsuits against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac over investor complaints that the US Government was taking more profits than necessary and not leaving enough for investors. This dismissal will be appealed and other lawsuits are still pending. This all started when Congress gave the FHFA and Treasury Department the authority to suck profit dry to hide the money laundering. Just a note: The US Treasury collected $220 Billion in dividends after funding their losses of $188 Billion – so where did all the money go – especially the extra $30 Billion in profit over and above their “investment”? Bottom line: It’s time the US Government turns control of Fannie and Freddie back to investors and let them profit and not extort money from businesses – but that “is” the Chicago way!
10-4-2014: According to a recent study, home prices are rising month-to-month but at a decreasing rate (i.e., slowing down)…but the consumer confidence in the economy has dropped alot regardless of the happy horse crap pushed by media over jobs added.
10-3-2014: Keep it in Cobb? – Does that mean the Heroin epidemic in Cobb County High Schools?
Today’s (10-3-14) MDJ (page 3A) reported that the CDC recently released a study that Heroin death have doubled in the past two years. Could the reason be prescription drugs that parents are prescribed are stolen by their teenage children that take them and now Heroin is cheaper, Heroin use ha exploded? Well….
Apparently due to the federal/local government and pharmacist crackdown on reducing the supply of opiate based prescription pain pills (i.e., Hydrocodone, Tramadol, Oxycodone, Percocet, Dilaudid, Lortab, Vicodin and Codeine) through fewer prescriptions and pill mils/pain clinics, there is an increased use of heroin and a direct correlation to increased pharmacy robberies. Also, the hit of heroin can be $5-10 where the one pill of the prescription drug can cost $20-30. My thoughts: This is the classic chicken and egg argument: Which comes first = Are teens curiosity the cause of this epidemic, or is the availability of prescription drugs the cause? MDJ, Opinion Page 6A in 9-6-14 issue a source for blog post.
10-2-2014: Lenders will soon find that imaginary place between the rock and the hard place
Now that we’ve almost pulled out of the housing and mortgage crisis, where one of the many causes of mortgage defaults was extending credit to most home buyers (especially those who could least afford it and a large portion of those home buyers were minorities), there is a movement afoot. Apparently, the Federal Reserve recently released reports that indicate lenders are not extending enough loans to minorities. So I read the other day that the FHFA is proposing relaxing the lending restrictions on minority borrowers to allow more minorities to own homes.
Although this proposal by President Obama will probably backfire and raise some rates while dropping others and may reduce the amount of each loan, at least the President is taking action against predatory lenders taking advantage of shortage between paychecks and cover maxed out credit cards limits. Lenders also bypass current rules by extending loan periods and increase loan amounts above Military Lending Act provisions. What was the Republican proposal that was to curb abusive rates on backs of our troops?
9-29-2014: Does baldness at a certain age determine your probability of prostate cancer?
The WSJ reported that men who are at least 45 years of age and bald are almost 40% more likely to contract prostate cancer.
9-28-2014: Two significant proposed changes to ROTH accounts by Obama
(1) Requirement for people to make mandatory withdrawals from their ROTH accounts at 70 1/2 (now they are not required to withdraw any.)
(2) Require the heirs to make mandatory withdrawals and deplete the account within 5 years of the date of ROTH owner’s death.
Source: WSJ, 9-8-2014, R8
9-27-2014: Immigration failure #307
According to an Immigrations and Custom Enforcement official about 70% of the immigrant families asked to show up to a follow up appointment weeks later never showed – thanks Barack Hussein Obama!
The US Justice Department has only recovered about $10 Billion of the $97 Billion it is owed from individuals and corporations through court actions, judgments, fines and penalties of criminal actions involving investment fraud schemes and other crimes since 2004.
9-26-2014: HUDOIG found that lenders generated an estimated $428 million in gains from the sale of Government National Mortgage Association securities when modifying defaulted FHA loans in fiscal year 2013. These loan modifications were completed as part of FHA’s loss mitigation program. None of these lender generated gains were used to offset FHA’s insurance fund costs. As a result, FHA missed opportunities to strengthen its insurance fund.
US Government doesn’t want to entertain Fannie & Freddie lawsuit
A Federal judge ruled “shafted” Fannie Mae “investors” couldn’t sue the Federal government for Federal government theft of their earnings in the form of stock dividends.
History: Both Fannie & Freddie were promised massive aid in exchange for senior preferred stock and right to 80% of common shares…the original agreement was for them both to pay 10% dividend plus other fees….then in 2012, they were relieved of the 10% dividend in exchange for dividends equaling their profits. Seems that the Federal government (i.e., FHFA) keeps changing the rules to “shake down” profits from mortgage borrowers…
9-25-2014: The Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA) has been using negotiated closing cost$ to buy down interest rates and not charge any closing fees for years…this is news? It just takes longer than typical loans since the buyer needs to go through months of classwork and seminars…then get the Seller to agree with all terms and conditions of repairs requested. In this environment of limited inventory and Seller strength, these loans are tough to use unless the house has been sitting for a while and not drawing buyer interest because of condition, location, or price is too high. Note: These loans don’t require a down payment, check credit scores, and loan approval can be as soon as 12 months after loan default or other negative financial event. Source of inspiration: WSJ/9-17-14/C3
9-22-2014: K-12 schools are improving, but not as competitive internationally
Recent Leaders & Laggards report from the US Chamber of Commerce Foundation revealed many states without excellent scores and many who fail to prepare students based on 11 business oriented criteria.
9-21-2014: Some reasons renters aren’t buying homes
About 60-65% of renters plan to move in the next 3 years; they only had about a 45% chance of buying a house when moving; >50% think their income is to low; >40% think their credit scores and history isn’t good enough to get a loan or a good rate; and >65% still believe it’s too difficult to get a mortgage. This last point is probably right on…since lenders seem to constantly ask for the same or new information – and at the last minute…makes it annoying and takes the joy out of purchasing a new home. It seems that if lenders make it an enjoyable experience, people would want to do it again as opposed to most I’ve heard saying they wouldn’t want to go through the mortgage process very soon. Source of survey: WSJ, 9-13/14/2014, B14.
Police use of license plate scanners – are you ok with it?
Well, another gray area…police departments are capturing and storing license plate data from police cars and traffic lights. They are justifying the data capture by using it against criminals, or excuse innocent suspects. Is this an invasion of privacy? Will this data be available upon request to share how and where and what information on your car is stored? What happens when a criminal loans his car to a friend who decides to drive through a McDonald’s across town at the same time the other criminal steals a car and uses it in a crime? Will the police use the data to let the actual criminal free?
9-20-2014: Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)institutes new rules for more loan disclosure
The SEC just approved new rules to make banks and financial firms to reveal more details about mortgages such as credit scores and measurement of debt to income ratios for the borrowers of the loans to investors and other loans that are pooled together into specialized bonds referred to as asset backed securities. One problem there was not enough disclosure of potential risk. Anoher problem was that there was too much reliance on rating agencies. (WSJ/8-28-14/C3 and WSJ 8-27-14, C3)
9-19-2014: Secondary market for jumbo mortgages
Jumbo mortgages (often those over $417,000) are now held by many banks, or bought large national/regional banks are buying them and are no longer being bought by Fannie or Freddie and securitized. Jumbo loans are now perceived as more secure investments since the lending standards have been tightened and the total market is much smaller than pre-2008 levels. But some banks are seeing the secondary mortgage market (i.e., investors buying up mortgages ad securitizing them) shrink and if it gets too small, the 30 year mortgage may be extinct or few and far between.
Status of mortgage lending
It has dropped >50% since last year and the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts interest rates will rise another 1% making the typical mortgage 12% more expensive. Large lenders are apprehensive in extending mortgages to even qualified applicants with lower credit scores.
9-18-2014: Real estate projections of home purchases
A recent Federal Reserve survey found about 2/3 of those surveyed that they believe they would move within the next 3 years and not consider buying a home and hen they moved, only about 45% thought they may buy a home when they do move…abut 40% thought their credit wasn’t good enough to buy a home….and almost 2/3 said it would be difficult to obtain a mortgage.
Cobb County plans to expand McCullum as air traffic drops
Regional Airline business is shrinking – profits are dropping – costs are rising – having trouble with finding pilots to fly planes on a low salary – and are arm twisted to lower their rates to get the business with major carriers. At the same time, Cobb County Government plans to expand the McCullum Regional airport to accommodate more international round trip flights by building a customs facility and increasing the height of a new tower. Is this good or bad timing? Those who live along Piedmont Road and Barrett Parkway (in the flight path of McCullum Airport) will be the ultimate judges.
9-17-2014: Stock market may be up, but it’s not necessarily all due to stronger economy
In fact, the economy remains sluggish up and down and sputtering. One significant possible reason for the rise in the stock market prices is that corporations bought back almost $340 Billion of their stock..and if nothing else, supports a price per share level with fewer shares and if there are fewer shares spread over even the same income, that results in higher stock prices. So, does all this mean some big wheels are going to make alot of money by a stock market pricing bubble to burst soon? I hope not but can’t rule it out.
9-16-2014: Obamacare costs are rising
The Health and Human Services released their projections for 2014 and beyond and the rates of inmcrease are near 6% where trhey were less than 4% for years…Healthcare is to absorb one in five US dollars and taxpayers will finance almost 50% of that spending by the end of the next decade including the 23% expansion of Medicaid spending. How efficient will Government be in spending that increase?
Obamacare tax credits could cost you money
If you applied for coverage through healthcare.gov, you may have received a tax credit for insurance. If your 2014 income is higher than expected, you probably won’t apply for as much of a tax credit for healthcare and therefore you may need to pay back some of the tax credit. Almost 7 million people have received these tax credits and > 30% will most likely have to pay something back…it all depends on whether you worked harder and got a raise and if so…Surprise – you get penalized.
9-15-2014: US taxpayers on the hook for Billions of SBA loans
The 10 worst business franchise brands in terms of Small Business Administration (SBA) loan defaults left taxpayers holding the bad on 21% (or $121 Billion) of charge offs between 2004 and 2013.
Banks to hold less cash for next mortgage/financial crisis
The Federal Reserve, FDIC and other US regulators approved the requirement for >30 major US banks altogether hold back a grand total of $100 Billion (instead of the $200 Billion) they originally expected to buffer the impact of the next financial crisis…you know, in case that ever happens. Also, a new “liquidity rule” will require banks to carry salable assets to cover up to 30 days of stress.
9-12-2014: US taxpayers on the hook for Billions of SBA loans
The 10 worst business franchise brands in terms of Small Business Administration (SBA) loan defaults left taxpayers holding the bad on 21% (or $121 Billion) of charge offs between 2004 and 2013.
9-9-2014: Citrus Killing Bugs in Florida
The $9 Billion Florida citrus industry is under attack from the Asian Citrus Psyillid that kills the root of the tree slowly while the fruit is still produced for a while until the tree finally dies after its vascular system is clogged by the bacteria remaining after the bug. There is currently no solution to the infestation or eliminating the bacteria.
Sweden’s Electrolux to purchase GE appliance business
The $3.3 Billion price will give them about a 36% share (compared with Whirlpool’s 39% and other ompetitors like Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics) market share…But for US consumers, what is the level of quality of Electrolux products and what will be the quality in the future?
9-7-2014: Are people moving to Cobb County for their schools or walking trails?
Sure, there is the Silver Comet Trail (converting old abandoned railroad track into a walking trail) project to connect up through Alabama. And the trails at Kennesaw Mountain are nice.
Comment from Cobb County parks and recreation…”The (65 different trails) trail system has become an economic driver in Cobb County.”
Oh really? Then prove it with number$!
9-5-2014: Ok – no tears for Bank of America but they have spent >100% of their reported net income between 2004 and 2007 in litigation costs and mortgage buybacks. About $34 Billion in litigation charges and about $34 Billion to repurchase faulty mortgages.
9-4-2014: Did the recent cyberattack that hit J.P.Morgan Chase & Co. hit other US banks?
The extent of what was stolen or done is being investigated by the FBI, Secret Service, and NSA. Other forensic companies (FireEye; Crowdstrike; and Strotz Friedberg) are also participating with the banks. In 2012, several banks were attacked and their websites crashed…Heard on the street – “Fraudsters are usually one step ahead of bank security defenses” – oh, that’s comforting. On average, banks spend $150-200 million each on internet security.
8-29-2014: US banks are increasing amount of loans
FDIC reported that total bank loan balances rose to $8.11 Trillion due to increased construction, auto, agriculture, and credit card loans. Fun fact: There are about 6,700 banks in the US. My question: How many and what proportion of the increase was due to increased new distribution or balance of credit cards (i.e., unsecured credit v. secured credit of auto-ag-construction loans)?
Heard on the street: The Federal Reserve is planning to raise interest rates in 2015…after the election.
8-28-2014: Fewer Home mortgages are underwater (almost half as many as the deepest part of recent mortgage crisis, but…
About 30% of the lowest priced homes have negative equity or are underwater (i.e., are worth less than their mortgages). This inventory isn’t hitting the market and therefore, not available to first time or other buyers. In fact, inventory of such lower priced homes fell about 8% from last year.
8-27-2014: Florida has approximately 60,000 homeowner and condo associations. According to the Community Associations Institute as of 2012, there were an estimated 323,600 housing associations covering 25.9 million units and 63.4 million people.
8-26-2014: Local Metro Atlanta Credit Union offers cash back rebate for using them – legal or not?
Question: Can a lender give a borrower an incentive, such as a chance to win a trip or a rebate, for doing business with the lender?
Answer: RESPA does not prohibit a lender or other settlement provider from giving the borrower an incentive for doing business with it as long as the incentive is not based on the borrower referring business
My thought: This is a gray area and more than likely the rebate/incentive needs to be disclosed to all parties on the HUD-1.
Source of answer: http://www.hud.gov/offices/hsg/ramh/res/resindus.cfm
8-25-2014: The most intimidating parts of the home-buying process
Making an offer and negotiating a price (38%); obtaining a mortgage (36%); moving (31%); closing (30%); and searching for and locating a home (25%). Most important considerations in buying a home? Single home owners rated space and square footage (59%); the yard (57%); and proximity to work or school (47%).
8-24-2014: Ever wonder how much acreage is on a triangle shaped property with varied lengths and angles? Wonder no more when you use this scalene triangle area measurement tool.
8-23-2014: Are ants cooling off the planet earth?
WSJ article in August 16-17, 2014 page c4 revealed a scientific study that reported ants were efficient at accelerating the breakdown of important chemicals that absorb carbon dioxide (by-product of burning fossil fuels) which in turn form new rocks. A potential solution or countermeasure to climate change? Can we understand and emulate to solve issue? As Spock would say….fascinating!
8-22-2014: Brilliant press statement of the day
Because the city of Smyrna spent $15 million on the property and plan to sell it for about $14 million, it’s likely the city will lose money. Government school math? MDJ, 8-20-14, 6B.
FTC gains legalized entry into company IT departments
With a liberal interpretation of Section 5 of the FTC Act, when a company’s data system is breached by “deceptive hackers” and consumer personal/financial information is exposed or obtained, the FTC uses the Act to consider the victim (said hacked company) violated the unfair trade practice and comes in to investigate and stay. Note: The FTC website and other government agency websites were hacked in 2012 and 2013.
8-21-2014: Home sizes and housing starts
Average sized home was about 2,500 square feet or the 2nd quarter in a row…entry level and first time home buyers dropped to 16% from a 25-28% rate in healthier years…housing starts were up 16% last month…applications for building permits rose >8%.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac forever paying the US Government
Regardless of whatever happens as the outcome of recent investment banking lawsuits to eliminate the US Government’s preferred stock in both companies, Fannie and Freddie are probably on the hook to pay 10% dividends – forever!
8-20-2014: Wow, has college life changed over the years
Haven Campus Communities will finish a 792 bed luxury student housing community (Stadium Village) at Kennesaw State University across from the football stadium by the start of their first football season in 2015. Fully furnished townhomes and flat floor plans with fully equipped kitchens, flat screen TV, full sized washers and dryers, private bathrooms for each bedroom, and lots of closet space. But wait, there’s more – the community will offer a clubhouse including a cyber lounge, coffee bar, fitness center, tanning rooms, game room, computer center and professional on-site management. And don’t forget the outdoor pool area that includes an infinity pool, sun deck, large tanning deck and hammock garden, outdoor amphitheater, covered built-in grills, outdoor pavilion with TVs, lounge furniture, and a fire pit. Well, I’m sure there will be several “study groups: and “group projects” for those students! MDJ, 8-13-14, 4B.
8-19-2014: Bank profits are at record highs
US banks reported >$40 Billion in profits in 2Q14….some of which is coming from banks releasing their reserves for bad loans (since the CFPB – Dodd-Frank, and other regulators are making it tougher to make loans) and slowing down mortgage lending so there are fewer, but more profitable loans. So it’s a win-win for banks, but guess who it’s a lose-lose for?
Are home prices rising or falling?
Well, apparently across the country the prices are decelerating. With many homeowners who saw the prices rising and recently decided to place their homes on the market (increasing available inventory) and the fact that many investors/homebuyers got discouraged from the rising prices although the interest rates remained fairly steady, and have pulled back from the market (lower demand), simple economics have resulted in falling prices – for now. But as I said before, prices will tend to fluctuate throughout 2014 due toi rise and fall in supply, demand, and interest rate changes. Source of posting: WSJ, 8-13-14, A2.
8-18-2014: FHA now has liability of about $240 Billion in mortgage loans – up from $55 Billion in pre-crisis years. Congress mandates the FHA to hold 2% of their total loans in reserve.
8-17-2014: Cheaper homes are getting more expensive and require larger down payments
The median down payment for the cheapest 25 percent of homes was 7.5 percent of the sales price last year, up from a low of 3.1 percent in 2006 and compared with an average 4.2 percent from 2001 through 2007, according to Seattle-based Redfin.
8-16-2014: Anthony Coleman indicted under the RICO Act
The indictment accuses Mr. Coleman of asking a pastor to write 3 false letters for his girlfriend to state she had served sufficient community service on a DUI and hit and run charge…when she didn’t serve the time. With politicians like this, who needs criminals on the street, we’d have them right where we want them – in office spending our money on important things – like booty. And this tells alot about the voters who consistently elect him and can’t run a better candidate!
8-15-2014: New Accounting Rules may negatively affect banks – sooner than later
The FASB has proposed a new rule to become effective in 2017 – 2018. The rule will require banks to write off the projected loss of a loan upfront and not wait until the loan actually defaults, as is the current rule. This means that we’re going to let banks predict the future? Been there – done that – ouch! Source: WSJ, 8-13-14, C3.
8-14-2014: Met Life mass faxes cost them $23 million
MetLife lost 2 class action lawsuits (Florida & Illinois) stemming from millions of faxes sent to potential customers. Payouts will be between $50-3,500 per claim.
8-12-2014: Those who make the rules, rule the educational system.
The College Board (a non-profit association of more than 6,000 educational institutions) produces the Advanced Placement U.S. History Framework (APUSH), SAT, PSAT, and GED, recently reformulated the SAT. So when they rewrite US AP History tests that focus far more on the negative aspects, they are effectively changing US History taught in schools. And each successive generation of school children learn what the College Board wants them to learn. Source: American Thinker and MDJ, 8-12-2014, A1.
8-11-2014: HUD recently sold defaulting mortgage notes for 124,000 single family homes to a single investor.
8-10-14: According to an agreement reached between the CFPB and Fair Issac Corporation, FICO scores will no longer include dings for zero balances on accounts that were written off or paid (about 9% of people) and less of a hit agains FICO score for those with large unpaid medical bills. But it’s interesting to note that mortgage lenders use older versions of FICO scores.
Interesting facts: In 2013, there were approximately $45 Billion in Interest Only mortgages…About 1 in 5 new mortgage in 1Q14 were Adjustable Rate Mortgages – and you thought they were gone!
8-9-14: 65% Increase in HAMP application backlog
Since November 2013, there’s a month-end total of about 221,000 HAMP (mortgage modification) applications waiting to be reviewed. About 1.3 million homeowners’ mortgages were modified but many still face delays when banks constantly request the same documents after long periods of delay. But some delays are attributed to the recent CFPB requirement for banks to consider other options as well which requires additional review. WSJ, 7-30-14, A2.
Can someone please explain to me why Cobb County need to buy extra police cars so the police can take them home from work every day? Many people drive back and forth to work every day in their own vehicles. I don’t see how this adds more crime prevention unless it just gives the appearance of more police on patrol.
Relaxed mortgage standards
At least for those who can best qualify for and pay with good credit, otherwise, it’s nearly impossible with a little shade and many have to much debt from past housing crisis and lower income from changes in employment.
8-7-14: Millennial generation is larger than the baby boomers — 87 million versus 76 million…Last year, the most common age in America was 22 years old…In comparison, there were 4.4 million 55-year-olds last year.
Question posed: Will they be a recognizable and similar historical force in real estate in the coming years, or will they take another path?
Major US banks were forced purchase of failed assets
Apparently, around the same time mortgage industry was collapsing all around us, the US Government strongly encouraged Bank of America to eat the purchase of Merrill lynch after JP Morgan ate Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual, which also were forced to eat by strong encouragement by the US Gov’t and collapsed. BOA did pursue and acquire Countrywide and took the hit on their losses. Now BOA is squeezed once more to extort money for past sins caused partially by the US Government…What a country! Source: WSJ, 7-29-2014, C2.
(My terrible thought: This reminds me of the sports cheer we used to sing in high school..”Munch, munch, munch…the ref (US Regulators) is out to lunch, eat it banks eat it – munch, munch, munch!”)
Rhode Island offers a “first time home buyer” tax credit
A dollar-for-dollar tax credit of up to $2,000 against their Federal tax liability for the life of their loanFirstHomes Tax Credit is offered to first time home buyers who purchase properties in specific areas and conform to income and other limitations.
Question: How did a US State swing a Federal Tax Credit for life?
About 10 million (or 8.2%) of US households have “no” bank accounts at all!
Builder CEO pay grows faster than stock prices
Compensation for the largest 13 US home builders grew at a 37% rate and shareholder returns for those same 13 home builders grew at 13% according to FPL Associates LP. Source: WSJ, July 30, 2014, C8.
SunTrust agreed to pay $320 million for poor treatment of homeowners
The money goes to consumers/homeowners who didn’t receive proper service under the HAMP program where some applications were never reviewed, misreported consumer credit status to credit bureaus, and just messed up on other situations. Source: WSJ, July 5-6, 2014, B2.
Zillow and Trulia dominate online real estate searches and are merging…the top 3 real estate annual website visits:
Zillow = 54 million;
Trulia = 31 million, and
Realtor.com = 24 million
Georgia’s Private School scholarship program helps more kids attend private school
Parents and businesses can benefit through a Georgia law allowing a tax deduction for some of the money they contribute toward the private school scholarship programs. The average scholarship for about 13,000 private school students was $3,388 compared with the average cost per student in public school of $10,345. Atlanta Business Chronicle (ABC), July 25-31, 2014.
EPA Power Grab
With the recent release of about 1,600 pages of regulations restricting the operation of coal fired energy plants, the EPA continues to attempt to cripple 50% of the energy production of the United States. Georgia’s Public Service Commission plans to argue the point during the hearing set for July 29th. ABC, July 25-31, 2014.
Cobb Electric Membership Corporation (EMC)
A recent Georgia court settlement resulted in Cobb EMC obligation to return $98 million back to its customers. About $25 million is being mailed back to customers by the end of July. What’s funny about it is that about 118,000 claims were submitted by former or current customers, but about 75% of those claims were either fraudulent or had errors in them like unchecked selections or unsigned claim forms. Marietta Daily Journal, 7-27-14, 6A.
US Company tax inversions
I’m not a CPA nor do I play one on TV. And I am not naive to thin the US tax code is completely crap since there are many foreign companies moving to the US daily to incorporate…or buy a US Company…But there are US firms moving and/or selling/reincorporating in other countries with more favorable tax treatment. So this ought to be a clue to President Obama that our corporate tax structure needs to be rewritten to keep and draw companies to the US…not dive their business and revenue away.
Rising rents in Denver and other spots – Signs of time to buy a house?
Well, if you bought into they hype from the early 2000’s just before the housing market crash, you may buy into this market. Many home prices are rising since foreclosures have subsided, alot of huge investors (Blackstone, American Homes for Rent, China, etc) have bought leftover foreclosure in thousands to help dry up alternative investment properties and artificially drive up prices. Source of inspiration: http://insiderealestatenews.com/2014/07/24/rising-rents-time-to-buy/
Plane and jet makers face economic/sales turbulence
Some airplane and jet manufacturers are encountering many buyers around the world that prefer to make slight improvements to their existing fleets (i.e., more efficient engines, minor design changes, etc,.) and hence their annual budgets and bottom line profits, as opposed to waiting for the huge efficiency years down the road. WSJ, 7-15-2014, B3.
Several concerns for interior household environments
These nasty items people stick in their mouths and suck on like little babies are tools of the local, state and Federal governments to raise revenue. Some estimate taxes per pack of cigarettes reach $3.80. Which is why some people from the State of New York travel to Georgia, hang out at QuikTrips and other places cigarettes are sold to buy them at almost half the price old in New York City…to make profit…good old entrepreneurism. IMHO – Alleged estimates of $500 million/year go to trial attorneys who work with the US government lawsuits and get drained in the back end from humble politicians with outstretched hands for kickbacks. Source: WJ,7-16-2014, A11 (Comment: So how does this tax revenue get back to the people in rehab programs trying to quit smoking, or hospitals caring for obvious smoker related health issues? Nowhere!)
Mixed news on U.S. housing starts
Lots of rain over winter and spring has stalled home construction caused 2nd straight month of falling starts. Also, many municipalities are taking longer to approve developments. Entire 2Q14, housing starts and permit volume was up from last year. But new application for building permits has declined. Some builders and builder organizations are hoping lenders relax their standards, but that depends on Dodd-Frank rules and the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. Source: WSJ, 7-18-14, A2.
Will the charm of Marietta Square disappear after “improvements” are made by politicians?
Mayor Steve Tumlin wants to pad the pocket of Goldstein and put a tourism office (a.k.a., money pit) on his property on the square; expand the grandstand, install bathrooms (probably to spare businesses from getting non paying customers in their stores only to use their bathrooms), install parking meters (what will they do with the proceeds, reimburse businesses for lost business?); shrink the road and enlarge the sidewalks (which are pretty darn wide right now); and make the square even more difficult to navigate…hey, the power of government ill screw up a good thing – always! Comment: Go for it Marietta and watch the charm of and the traffic on the square disappear. I wouldn’t want a business on the square after that happens.
Has real estate turned the corner in 2014? The Greater Atlanta Homebuilders Association reported about 14,000 new homes sold in 2013 and predicted another 18,000-19,000 in 2014. New homes may be hot, but the prices of those selling is $400K and above. Some municipalities have enacted a moratorium on new home construction. Also, there is still a lack of availability of credit for the smaller builders and developers. Source: Atlanta Business Chronicle, February 7-13, 2014, 24A.
Net neutrality as written by FCC – like, who’s neutral?
FCC Chairman Tom Wheeler’s proposal for net neutrality and mega deals between content providers (i.e., big and small businesses) & broadband providers (i.e., Comcast & some others) opens Pandora’s (not the music service) box of issues. Better ideas from the public include classifying broadband providers as utility companies and regulating their service to ensure all sizes of businesses have a chance to compete on same level…you now, fair! Source: WSJ, 7-15-2014, B3.
New Georgia Gun Laws:
Georgia bills HB 826 (modified the zero-tolerance policy dropping some definitions of weapons) and HB 60 (kept the definitions in place and effectively didn’t change any defined weapons in schools) but do allow guns in County school board meetings. Access to government buildings is when no police officer or metal detectors search for weapons. MDJ, 7-19-2014, A1
A successful VA program is about to end
The 5 year study on the effects of treating veterans with brain damage in a community based home and not a hospital or rest home environment is about to be scrapped by US Congress and put some veterans back on the street – homeless. C’mon, you got to be kidding – US Congress is more worthless than I thought.
Recent polls show small businesses can’t fill jobs to grow their business: A recent WSJ poll of 270 businesses revealed 35% couldn’t find qualified candidates. Less than 45% of small business owners believe their business growth suffers without this labor shortage. My thoughts: There are some people aged 50+ who are canned from their other jobs and careers that would be more than qualified to fill some of these positions and there’s where some of the labor can be acquired. Source: WSJ, 7-10-2014, B1.
How far has US home ownership come in the past 50 years? About the same today as it was then despite Fannie, Freddie, and all the rest of the US Government’s efforts to stimulate home ownership.
Boomer roommates may shape housing market With housing prices on the rise and retirement income on the decline, many retirees may be faced with a decision to tart living with other retirees in the same household.
Behind the scenes on Citigroup’s $7 Billion settlement for CDOs and MBS’s
Long political struggle resulted in $4 Billion of it goes to US Government as civil penalty, part of the remainder goes to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will be used to help struggling homeowners in 5 states: Illinois, California, Delaware, Massachusetts, and New York (all Democratic voting states…hmm..hmm..hmm) – But nobody lost their job, was hung, or even go to jail…they are still making mortgages and brokering financial deals. And where do you think they will get the $ to pay the fines? Source: WSJ, 7-14-14, C2.
265 Homes in Cobb scheduled to be foreclosed in July 2014 Of the 265 homes that were scheduled to be sold on the Cobb County courthouse steps on Tuesday July 2nd, how many were actually foreclosed?…Could be more…could be less. Nobody really knows since sometimes the banks withdraw the home from auction if the homeowner files bankruptcy, catches up their payments, or the lender withdraws their foreclosure action for another reason. Source: MDJ, 7-11-2014, B1.
Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy
Ray Nagin (the guy who sat on his ass and didn’t move people – especially older ones – out of the city during Hurricane Katrina on buses, but made Ted Kennedy proud by not having the buses float either like Ted’s VW) sentenced to 10 years in federal prison for a bribery and conspiracy scheme while he was “Mayor of the Chocolate City”. Help Wanted – Mayor of New Orleans – Only criminals with convictions need apply.
Big US banks have a problem – too much cash
US banks are raking in the cash but not lending it since interest rates (a bank’s means to earn profit) remain low and most lending risks have been minimized yet some lending risks remain too risky for bank loans. Also, Wells Fargo (nation’s largest mortgage lender) disclosed that home purchase loans have fallen almost 60% in the past 12 months. WSJ, 7-12/7-13, B2.
How to assess a real estate agentHere are some tips of what questions to ask of your real estate agent. I think the agent’s strategy and your expectations from the agent should be discussed.
Bank Payback Status on Foreclosure Settlement
13 of the largest US banks agreed to pay $9.3 Billion ($5.7 Billion in non-cash and $3.6 Billion in cash payments) to homeowners who were erroneously foreclosed on during the recent real estate crisis. As of April 2014, about $3.1 Billion in cash payments have been made and almost 85% have cashed their checks.Source: WSJ, July 8, 2014, C3.
Can Congress actually change the VA?
Chilling report from Washington DC reporter Jamie DuPree about how messed up the VA was and remains – servicing veteran with disgust http://www.wsbradio.com/weblogs/jamie-dupree/2014/jul/06/can-congress-actually-change-va/#cmComments
Corrosive Culture at the VA Long list of problems found by White House Deputy Chief of Staff Rob Nabors – impediment to progress and mismanagement at VA – inappropriate appointment scheduling procedures – dropped the 14 day target to see vets since it couldn’t be done – falsification of attendance and appointment records. In other words, it’s been mess for a while like all the vets have been saying over the years and yet nobody did anything about it! Source: WSJ, 6-28/29-2014,A4
US Taxpayers on the hook for PensionsThe Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation (PBGC) (part of the US Government) insures over 10 Million workers and retirees. It’s projected to run a deficit of around $50 Billion in less than 10 years…Now, just last year they projected around $22 Billion in losses. And the PBGC only guarantees a pension of
Credit cards are being issued to risky consumers
Here we go again??? Given the drop in mortgage lending and trading activity, banks are turning to risky ways to generate revenue…About 3.7 million credit cards (with higher interest rates) have bee issued to risky (i.e., sub-prime) consumers in the 1Q14 alone – almost a 40% increase from last year. Source: WSJ, 6-27-14, A1
Home sales are floating along Cash sales are moving home sales forward. Mortgage applications have fallen yet new home sales have risen to their highest level in >5 years. NAR estimates 2014 existing home sales will be 3% lower than 2013. The Federal Reserve stated the slow moving real estate industry as a major concern for US economic growth and strength. Source: WSJ,7-1-2014,A2
Choices drive oil demand in US The biggest influence on the reduction in our demand for oil is the production of more fuel efficient vehicles (about 25% improvement in past 10 years) and the reduction in number of miles driven (about 2%). Source: WSJ,6-30-2014,C6
Boomers are not selling their homes A 2010 AARP survey reported 84% of retired people wanted to stay in their existing homes as long as possible. But some statistics suggest rise in baby boomer movement to multi-unit dwellings and out of single family ones. (Note: My thoughts – I think alot of Boomers are having difficulty trying to get their own parents out of their homes since they aren’t maintaining them as well and don’t want to be a hassle to their children when the time comes—too late—to move out). Source WSJ, -28/29-2014, A3
Government Punts on Mortgage Standards
About 23% of the loans issued in the 2005-2008 time frame would still have been approved under the most recent relaxed QRM (Qualified Residential Mortgage) definition determined by the CFPB and would still have hit the 90 day delinquency period resulting in any foreclosures on the backs of taxpayers. So when the lobbyists and special interest groups intervene to influence definition of quality mortgages – quality suffers and so do the taxpayers.
Source: WsSJ, 6-27-2014, A12
Businesses are Fleeing America
20 major American companies reincorporated outside the US in the past 2 years…In 2013, companies paid 55% premium when moving overseas as opposed to a normal 20% premium to stay in the US. Our tax code limits employment, encourages companies to keep ($2 Trillion) profits out of US, and American workers bear almost 75% of the US tax burden. We could go to a territorial tax system where you only pay the host country’s tax rate r at least more competitive.
Source: WSJ Opinion, 6-25-14, A15
Another VA Scandal The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates VA would require $35 Billion in next 2 yeas and $50 Billion each year after but Sanders and McCain wanted to cough up $500 Million for add’l VA providers and >$200 Million to lease 26 medical facilities…and further estimates increased VA health care demand rising 60%..recent bills in the Senate and House ignore the real problems – trying to provide unlimited demand and care at little to no cost to the veteran…the Senate and House always fail to allocate enough money to care for veterans. Source: WSJ, 6-19-2014, A14
(My take on VA health care – you can get all you want of it but only if you can get in and only if it’s in time to help.)
Loaning money to your children to buy a home? Answer: Not unless you’re willing to never see your money again. If you do, make sure you give them the money long before they find a home to buy…If you make a loan, document it and report the interest as income on your taxes….and watch out if the children are mobile in the next 2-3 years – if buying a home, you may lose money on the sale. Source: WSJ, 6-16-2014, R3.
Sales of existing homes rose about 5% in May but are still down 5% from last year…NAR also predicts total sales of exiting homes will fall by 3% in 2014….and NAR believes interest rates will rise to around 5% by 1Q15 (but many earlier this year were predicting that rate now – so go figure)and the median price of a home was up about 5% from last year to around $213,500. WSJ, 6-24-14, A2.
VA medical comments – So we’re finally unravelling the onion on how poorly the veterans are being treated at VA facilities? About time – we all been hearing how bad it was and that’s why the practice is “unless you’re desperate or destitute, don’t use VA medical facilities”….
Recent US Supreme Court decision to let some states laws govern statute of limitations regarding the cleanup of pollution and contamination caused by actions several years in the past and not be required to cleanup under he Superfund guidelines. In other words, if it was “too long ago”, too bad.
Social Security – More boomers, fewer offices will be open to handle – About 47 million people take social security – a 20% increase from 10 years ago…and about 11 million people take disability social security benefits or a 38% increase during the same period.
Are short sales less costly to banks than foreclosure? Freddie Mac says short sales recovers about $0.68 on the dollar and foreclosures recover about $0.64 on the dollar. WSJ 6-21/22-2014. (Hey, then logic follows that banks should favor short sales over foreclosures – right? Interesting to investigate if banks “push” short sales or just wait until the other shoe drops and they foreclose.)
Will all the banks who took TARP money pay it back? Short answer – No…Some banks don’t have to catch up on missed dividend payments under their obligation to make those payments…And to date, the US Treasury has made $30 Billion above and beyond TARP costs…but when a bank misses >=6 dividend payments, the Treasury can appoint 2 directors to the bank’s board of directors…but has only done it
Student debt v. Mortgage debt – Which do you prefer? Now that kids graduating college have huge student loans with little hope of huge salaries to pay them off may get a reprieve from Uncle Sam in the form of reduced balance or lower payments on their loan balances. Student debt for 25 year olds has almost doubled in the past 10+ years and correspondingly, mortgage debt by the same group has fallen. WSJ, 6-10-2014, C10. (Note: So are we robbing Peter -and the rest of the Apostles- to pay Paul by placing written off debt on the backs of US taxpayers just so these students can get right back into debt on a home and force them into servitude to maintain payments and the property itself?